Why Silver Supply Cannot Respond to Higher Prices
Source: Kitco NEWS | Date: January 27, 2026
Key Takeaways
- Silver supply has plateaued at 830-850 million ounces for a decade with major producers guiding lower production for 2026
- The physical metals market is overtaking the paper trading market for the first time in decades, creating a new pricing paradigm
- Mining sector requires significantly higher metal prices to justify billion-dollar infrastructure investments for new projects
- Government support is improving globally, with faster permitting being crucial for industry growth
- Mining companies are running financial models at much higher metal prices ($3,200 gold, $38 silver) compared to historical assumptions
Market Views
- Silver hit $112 during interview, stabilizing above $100 (previously predicted $100 silver by 2030)
- Gold trading above $5,100, establishing new base levels
- Market still in "inning two" of the cycle with major institutional investors (pension funds, mutual funds) still on sidelines
- Expects continued M&A activity in the sector due to strong cash generation
Assets Discussed
- First Majestic Silver (AG) - Primary silver producer with own mint, generating exceptional cash flow
- First Mining Gold - Junior gold company with two development projects in Quebec and Ontario, targeting 250-350k oz/year production each
- Discovery Silver - Conference presenter/sponsor
- Physical silver and gold markets vs. paper trading
Notable Quotes
- "Without silver, nothing works. Copper's highway, silver's the Autobahn" - on silver's strategic importance
- "We're going into a new pricing paradigm. We're not going to go back to the old pricing that we're all used to over the last 20, 30 years" - on sustained higher metal prices
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