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Currencies Are Just Promises. Mannarino

Source: Gregory Mannarino | Date: January 26, 2026


Key Takeaways

  • Currencies are essentially promises and units of debt that investors don't actually own
  • Markets lack real price discovery and function as forward-looking risk pricing mechanisms
  • Political promises in the US are failing to deliver on expected outcomes
  • The current monetary system is built on promises of purchasing power rather than tangible value

Market Views

  • No real price discovery exists in current markets
  • Markets are pricing in "failed promises" regarding currencies
  • The system is fundamentally based on promises that may not be fulfilled

Assets Discussed

  • US Dollar (discussed in context of failed political/monetary promises)
  • Currencies in general (characterized as debt instruments and promises)

Notable Quotes

  • "Currencies are promises... these are units of debt. We don't even own them."
  • "There's no price discovery anymore."

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