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Josef Schachter: Venezuela, The Oil Super Cycle and How To Find 10-Baggers in Oi

Source: Palisade Radio | Date: January 12, 2026


Key Takeaways

  • Oil Super Cycle Incoming: Schachter forecasts a significant energy super cycle driven by constrained supply, declining production rates (30-50% first-year decline in shale), and lack of new oil discoveries globally
  • Strong Structural Demand: Over 1 billion people worldwide lack stable electricity access, creating massive future energy demand alongside normal growth of 1.2-1.3 million barrels per day
  • Canadian Energy Value Play: Canadian energy companies trading at 2-3x cash flow could expand to 7-8x during the super cycle, offering attractive dividend yields of 5-11%
  • Venezuela Catalyst: Potential geopolitical shifts in Venezuela could significantly impact global oil supply dynamics
  • Investment Strategy: Focus on companies with strong balance sheets, insider ownership, and diversified exposure across natural gas, light-medium oil, and service sectors

Market Views

  • WTI Oil Price Targets:
    • Q1 2026: $52-66 per barrel
    • Q4 2026: $74-84 per barrel
    • 2028-2029: Potential to reach $100 per barrel
  • Valuation Expansion: Canadian energy stocks could see multiple expansion from current 2-3x cash flow to 7-8x during super cycle
  • M&A Activity: Anticipated consolidation in energy sector driven by attractive valuations

Assets Discussed

  • Commodities: WTI Crude Oil, Natural Gas
  • Sectors: Canadian energy companies, oil service companies, Canadian oil sands
  • Geographic Focus: Venezuela oil production, Canadian energy sector, emerging markets energy demand
  • Investment Themes: Energy portfolio diversification, dividend-yielding energy stocks, global energy sector positioning

Note: Specific company names not mentioned in the available description


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