Josef Schachter: Venezuela, The Oil Super Cycle and How To Find 10-Baggers in Oi
Source: Palisade Radio | Date: January 12, 2026
Key Takeaways
- Oil Super Cycle Incoming: Schachter forecasts a significant energy super cycle driven by constrained supply, declining production rates (30-50% first-year decline in shale), and lack of new oil discoveries globally
- Strong Structural Demand: Over 1 billion people worldwide lack stable electricity access, creating massive future energy demand alongside normal growth of 1.2-1.3 million barrels per day
- Canadian Energy Value Play: Canadian energy companies trading at 2-3x cash flow could expand to 7-8x during the super cycle, offering attractive dividend yields of 5-11%
- Venezuela Catalyst: Potential geopolitical shifts in Venezuela could significantly impact global oil supply dynamics
- Investment Strategy: Focus on companies with strong balance sheets, insider ownership, and diversified exposure across natural gas, light-medium oil, and service sectors
Market Views
- WTI Oil Price Targets:
- Q1 2026: $52-66 per barrel
- Q4 2026: $74-84 per barrel
- 2028-2029: Potential to reach $100 per barrel
- Valuation Expansion: Canadian energy stocks could see multiple expansion from current 2-3x cash flow to 7-8x during super cycle
- M&A Activity: Anticipated consolidation in energy sector driven by attractive valuations
Assets Discussed
- Commodities: WTI Crude Oil, Natural Gas
- Sectors: Canadian energy companies, oil service companies, Canadian oil sands
- Geographic Focus: Venezuela oil production, Canadian energy sector, emerging markets energy demand
- Investment Themes: Energy portfolio diversification, dividend-yielding energy stocks, global energy sector positioning
Note: Specific company names not mentioned in the available description
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